Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.103071 1.315482 1.538387 1.788137 2.058648 2.341417 2.658000
2025-01-12 0.768162 1.056867 1.381475 1.766272 2.203502 2.679255 3.230759
2025-01-19 0.646833 0.981578 1.375251 1.857949 2.421325 3.047495 3.786242
2025-01-26 0.561379 0.933018 1.387954 1.961814 2.646158 3.419397 4.343816
2025-02-02 0.503233 0.906384 1.417054 2.076191 2.875545 3.790092 4.894267
2025-02-09 0.463594 0.896993 1.462421 2.206235 3.120531 4.176904 5.462058
2025-02-16 0.409961 0.860152 1.466796 2.280936 3.295592 4.479534 5.930778
2025-02-23 0.346513 0.800136 1.434377 2.304304 3.404459 4.701375 6.303408
2025-03-02 0.261931 0.694714 1.331393 2.229818 3.387144 4.768764 6.491446
2025-03-09 0.188571 0.592824 1.223430 2.140907 3.345525 4.802000 6.634897
2025-03-16 0.139532 0.521982 1.152893 2.096127 3.354960 4.893252 6.843906
2025-03-23 0.113169 0.488458 1.134839 2.120508 3.451217 5.089353 7.177454
2025-03-30 0.084790 0.445689 1.102749 2.129074 3.533660 5.277586 7.513865
2025-04-06 0.055635 0.389813 1.044529 2.097861 3.562914 5.400127 7.772287
2025-04-13 0.049213 0.390762 1.079842 2.200911 3.769493 5.743660 8.298964
2025-04-20 0.044664 0.395827 1.121916 2.313962 3.989852 6.105161 8.848532
2025-04-27 0.041934 0.405737 1.172274 2.439318 4.226982 6.488181 9.424996
2025-05-04 0.041119 0.421741 1.233514 2.581133 4.486733 6.900328 10.037906
2025-05-11 0.034570 0.415647 1.254527 2.662533 4.664786 7.209311 10.524582
2025-05-18 0.024464 0.390564 1.239110 2.687956 4.766179 7.420727 10.891177
2025-05-25 0.010628 0.332176 1.156041 2.606855 4.719632 7.442095 11.022146
2025-06-01 0.002444 0.274577 1.066178 2.509910 4.647390 7.427649 11.106288
2025-06-08 0.000136 0.236408 1.009443 2.461027 4.638751 7.492316 11.286061